Notícias de trading

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every argues that markets are treating the Iran conflict and Hormuz disruption as largely resolved, with Oil futures not fully reflecting physical supply risks.

ING’s Chris Turner notes that EUR/USD has fully retraced its March losses, helped by fading expectations for an April ECB hike while a June hike remains priced. The ECB is seen keeping a hike option open as it assesses scenarios.

No immediate response by the Swiss Franc (CHF) after the SNB minutes release. However, USD/CHF is rising in the European trade and has recovered its easrly losses as the US Dollar (USD) bounces back.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 16:

Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.5%) in March

Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (1.7%) in March

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) above forecasts (1.5%) in March: Actual (1.6%)

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) came in at 1.7%, above forecasts (1.6%) in March

Dow Jones futures advance 0.11% to near 48,720 during European hours on Thursday, ahead of the regular opening in the United States (US). Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also rise 0.20% and 0.44% to near 7,070 and 26,480, respectively, at the time of writing.

Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 has rebounded sharply from its March 30 eight‑month low, rallying over 10% to close above 7,000 at fresh record highs.

The US Dollar (USD) extends losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, amid broad-based weakness in the USD as investors raise their bets on a resolution of the Middle East conflict.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur writes that the Australian Dollar is supported by resilient labor market data, with unemployment steady at 4.3% and 18,000 jobs added in March. However, sentiment indicators have weakened, inflation expectations have risen, and refinery disruptions raise supply risks.

The NZD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up to over a one-month high, though it retains its positive bias for the fourth straight day on Thursday.

Pakistan’s foreign ministry stated during the European trading session on Thursday that dates for another round of talks between the United States (US) and Iran regarding the permanent ceasefire have not been finalized yet.

MUFG’s Michael Wan reviews India’s March trade data, noting a narrower overall deficit helped by seasonal factors and lower Gold prices and imports.

The AUD/USD pair posts a fresh multi-year high around 0.7200 during the European trading session on Thursday. The Aussie pair demonstrates strength as the Australian Dollar (AUD) outperforms its peers amid a continuous risk-on market mood.

BNY's Geoff Yu notes that despite major supply shocks in 2022–2023, private capital flows into United States (US) assets, including Treasuries and equities, remained resilient even as APAC (Asia-Pacific) and European trade surpluses declined.

Austria HICP (YoY) meets forecasts (3.1%) in March

Austria HICP (MoM) meets forecasts (1.1%) in March

GBP/JPY remains flat after an eight-day winning streak, trading around 215.60 during the early European hours on Thursday. The currency cross remains close to an all-time high of 215.91, reached on April 15, following the release of the United Kingdom’s (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data.